The third RBA Bulletin articles studies the path and structure of China's demand for steel. It is very interesting and worth a read for anyone who wants to know where Australia's economy is heading (insofar as we are tied to the Middle Kingdom). My favourite chart is the one enclosed below, which shows that China and India's appetite for steel has a long way to go. The authors conclude:
"As the Chinese economy develops and the urbanisation process continues over the next decade or so, the production and consumption of steel are likely to rise further, underpinning strong demand for both iron ore and coking coal."
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The author has been described by News Ltd as an "iconoclast", "Svengali", a pollie's "economist muse", and "pungently accurate". Fairfax says he is a "Renaissance man" and "one of Australia’s most respected analysts." Stephen Koukoulas concludes that he is "85% right", and "would make a great Opposition leader." Terry McCrann claims the author thinks "‘nuance’ is a trendy village in the south of France", but can be "scintillating" when he thinks "clearly". The ACTU reckons he’s "an enigma wrapped in a Bloomberg terminal, wrapped in some apparently well-honed abs."