Westpac's new "Red Book" offers an outstanding analysis of changes in consumer sentiment. I have previously written about their survey of consumer house price expectations. This is the October summary:
"Some 63% of consumers expect house prices to rise over the next year – down from 70% in July and a peak of 84% in April and Jan. The proportion of optimists is also below the 74% recorded this time last year though it is still comfortably above the 53% reported in July 2009. Just under a quarter expect prices to remain the same with just over 12% predicting declines, the latter unchanged from July. The spread of responses in October points to an average expected price rise of 2.6% over the next 12 months, down from 3.6% in the July survey and 5.7% in the April survey. House price growth exceeded expectations in the year to July, coming in at around 10-12%yr nationally according to private sector measures. Only 9% of consumers were expecting 10%+ price gains in the July 2009 survey."
Westpac have also produced some cool charts dissecting their data, including one mapping expectations against the RP Data-Rismark house price index...
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