The author has been described by News Ltd as an "iconoclast", "Svengali", a pollie's "economist muse", and "pungently accurate". Fairfax says he is a "Renaissance man" and "one of Australia’s most respected analysts." Stephen Koukoulas concludes that he is "85% right", and "would make a great Opposition leader." Terry McCrann claims the author thinks "‘nuance’ is a trendy village in the south of France", but can be "scintillating" when he thinks "clearly". The ACTU reckons he’s "an enigma wrapped in a Bloomberg terminal, wrapped in some apparently well-honed abs."

Friday, February 19, 2010

RBA testimony

So the Governor is having his bi-annual love-in with the House of Representatives' Economics Committee today. Expect a dry opening presentation followed by political point-scoring that focuses on whether a rollback of government debt will allow more accommodative interest rates.

Alongside the RBA's non-specialist (save for Warwick McKibbin) and weak Board, the Committee is meant to serve as taxpayers' key governance check on the RBA, but rarely does so. The RBA execs normally get a free-ride as the pollies try to out-do each other with vain attempts to extract a supportive statement from the otherwise taciturn RBA. You know the drill: Wasn’t the stimulus crucial to saving our bacon during the GFC Guv'nor? Surely government spending is going to crowd out the private sector and drive up interest rates Guv'nor? Booooring.

With the departure of Scott Morrison, probably the smartest guy on the Committee is the Deputy Chair, Jamie Briggs. Briggs is a young Liberal Party gun who used to work in Howard's office. But he is meant to be a progressive. While I don't know him personally, he appears to have a lot of innate intelligence. It is disappointing that Morrison is no longer a member of the Committee, since he added a great deal of value to the process last time around by telescoping in on the Governor's real views with regard to housing.

Separately, the auction market is once again surprising on the upside in 2010. Sydney and Melbourne are displaying very healthy clearance rates, as is Adelaide. The one typically weak performer was Brisbane...The remaining markets are too thin to judge.